Osprey Bitcoin Trust Etf Performance

OBTC Etf  USD 24.59  0.46  1.84%   
The etf holds a Beta of 0.82, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Osprey Bitcoin's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Osprey Bitcoin is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Osprey Bitcoin Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders. ...more
  

Osprey Bitcoin Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,069  in Osprey Bitcoin Trust on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (610.00) from holding Osprey Bitcoin Trust or give up 19.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. Osprey Bitcoin Trust is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.8303% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of otc etfs are less volatile than Osprey, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Osprey Bitcoin is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.77 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Osprey Bitcoin Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Osprey OTC Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.59 90 days 24.59 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Osprey Bitcoin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Osprey Bitcoin Trust probability density function shows the probability of Osprey OTC Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Osprey Bitcoin has a beta of 0.82. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Osprey Bitcoin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Osprey Bitcoin Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Osprey Bitcoin Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Osprey Bitcoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Osprey Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osprey Bitcoin Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Osprey Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7824.5927.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8122.6225.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.4223.2426.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5728.7231.86
Details

Osprey Bitcoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Osprey Bitcoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Osprey Bitcoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Osprey Bitcoin Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Osprey Bitcoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Osprey Bitcoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Osprey Bitcoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Osprey Bitcoin Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Osprey Bitcoin Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Osprey Bitcoin Fundamentals Growth

Osprey OTC Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Osprey Bitcoin, and Osprey Bitcoin fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Osprey OTC Etf performance.
Total Asset129.67 M

About Osprey Bitcoin Performance

By analyzing Osprey Bitcoin's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Osprey Bitcoin's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Osprey Bitcoin has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Osprey Bitcoin has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Osprey Bitcoin is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
Osprey Bitcoin Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Osprey OTC Etf

Osprey Bitcoin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Osprey OTC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Osprey with respect to the benefits of owning Osprey Bitcoin security.